Data & Methodology — Caroline County

Full contaminant data, sample history, and sourcing for Caroline County. For readers who want to go beyond the summary.

Contaminant Data — All Analytes

823 well testing events on record, covering 22 analytes. Data spans 1929 to 2026.

Contaminant Samples Years Detection Rate Distribution LowModHigh vs. Limit vs. VA Avg
Manganese 29 1998–2021 86%
73% of limit ↓ 41% below
Iron 31 1970–2021 68%
38% of limit ↓ 53% below
Nitrate 423 1970–2025 91%
8% of limit ~ typical
Uranium 7 1998–2025 29%
1% of limit ↑ 23% above
Sulfate 37 1970–2025 95%
3% of limit ↓ 71% below
PFHxS municipal 28 2023–2024 7%
31% of limit
Nitrite 435 1997–2025 33%
0% of limit ↓ 81% below
Lead 6 1998–2021 17%
1% of limit ↓ 44% below
HFPO-DA (GenX) municipal 28 2023–2024 0%
Chloride 37 1970–2025 100%
1% of limit ↓ 90% below
Arsenic 6 1998–2021 50%
3% of limit ↓ 60% below
Fluoride 36 1970–2025 58%
4% of limit ~ typical
PFNA municipal 28 2023–2024 0%
PFOA municipal 28 2023–2024 0%
PFOS municipal 28 2023–2024 0%
Radon 5 1998–2013 100%
8% of limit ↓ 91% below
E. coli 1 2003–2021 99%
Total Coliform 1 2013–2021 0%
Sodium 37 1970–2025 100%
↓ 49% below
pH 465 1970–2021 100%
↓ 22% below
PFBS municipal 28 2023–2024 18%
Hardness 37 1970–2025 100%
↓ 65% below

Distribution shows the share of samples in each concentration band relative to the EPA Maximum Contaminant Level (MCL): Low = below half the MCL, Moderate = between half and the MCL, High = above the MCL. Analytes without an MCL (e.g. sodium, pH) show — in the limit columns. State average is based on county median values across VA.

Data Coverage & Gaps

Well-sampled analytes (15+ samples)

  • Manganese 29 samples
  • Iron 31 samples
  • Nitrate 423 samples
  • Sulfate 37 samples
  • Nitrite 435 samples
  • Chloride 37 samples
  • Fluoride 36 samples
  • Sodium 37 samples
  • pH 465 samples
  • Hardness 37 samples

Limited data (<15 samples) — interpret with caution

  • Uranium 7 samples
  • Lead 6 samples
  • Arsenic 6 samples
  • Radon 5 samples
  • E. coli 1 sample
  • Total Coliform 1 sample

No private-well PFAS data for Caroline County

We have no private well sampling data for PFAS compounds (PFOA, PFOS, PFNA, and related chemicals) in Caroline County. PFAS has been detected in local public water systems (UCMR 5 data) — indicated by the "municipal" badge in the table above — but this does not directly indicate private well contamination. PFAS testing for private wells requires a dedicated lab panel (~$300–$500). If you are near a military base, airport, or industrial site, consider testing proactively. Learn more about PFAS →

Public vs. Private Water in Caroline County

43 Active public water systems
33,476 Residents on public water

Public water systems in Caroline County are regulated by the EPA and must test and report contaminant levels. Private well owners are responsible for their own testing — there is no routine monitoring of private wells by any government agency.

CDC Health Outcome Correlations

Where contaminants detected in Caroline County have established associations with specific health outcomes, we cross-reference CDC PLACES county-level prevalence data. This is a contextual signal, not a causal claim.

Contaminant Associated Condition Caroline County Prevalence VA Average Source Year
Nitrate Cancer prevalence 7.0% 6.7% 2020

Source: CDC PLACES county-level estimates. Raw data: Download Caroline County CDC PLACES data →

Data Sources

This report aggregates data from the following public databases:

Methodology

Raw records are downloaded from the Water Quality Portal and normalized to µg/L (ppb). Records are deduplicated by sample ID and date, and certified outliers are excluded. Analyte names are mapped to EPA canonical forms. Detection rates, distribution bands, and MCL comparisons are computed from the normalized dataset.

Distribution bands use the EPA Maximum Contaminant Level as the threshold: concentrations below 50% of the MCL are classed as Low, between 50% and 100% as Moderate, and above 100% as High. For analytes without an MCL (sodium, hardness, pH), distribution is not computed.

State comparison uses the median of county median values across all counties in VA with at least one sample for that analyte.

Last updated: 2026-07-15

Full methodology →